Tuesday, July 03, 2018

Trump Puts NATO On Notice



U.S. President Trump now targeting NATO. With only a few of the 28-member countries meeting their financial contributions, Trump’s latest volley of threats is now aimed at the alliance. While he is unhappy with those countries that are not meeting their full financial obligations, as were some past U.S. administrations, unlike the others Trump has stated he is prepared to reduce the presence of the U.S. military around the world. Even though the U.S. is contributing 22% of the NATO financial target, a sore point with Trump, he fails to acknowledge that the U.S. has a lot to lose by reducing their military presence. In addition to weakening their military response capability it could also impact the large U.S. economy connected to military requirements. As it could likely embolden Russia and China to ramp-up their own military capabilities, Trump stands to get outplayed just as may be now happening with his approach to North Korea.
Although Trump’s wacky and undisciplined approach to deal-making may be obnoxious to everyone, except perhaps to his voting base, a positive long-term outcome probably remains with the next administration or with the U.S. Congress after the November mid-term elections. In the meantime, it is likely a strategy of patience and damage control.




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